At 10:30 a.m. ET Friday the Senate held a procedural vote on Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination. The 51-to-49 cloture vote to end debate sets Kavanaugh up for a final vote on Saturday.
Jeff Flake (R-AZ): yes
Susan Collins (R-ME): yes
Lisa Murkowski (R-AK): no
Joe Manchin (D-WV): yes
Heidi Heitkamp (D-ND): no
Importantly, Sen. Susan Collins voted “yes” on cloture, but said she will announce her vote on confirmation at 3 p.m. ET Friday. It would be surprising for her, or for any other senator, to vote “yes” on cloture but “no” on confirmation.
If everyone votes the same way they did today on the final confirmation vote, Kavanaugh will be confirmed. If one “yes” senator changes to “no,” Kavanaugh could still be confirmed with Vice President Mike Pence casting the tie-breaking vote. That means at this point at least two senators would have to vote differently tomorrow than they did today in order for Kavanaugh’s nomination to be derailed.